2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,440/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$399
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$512
Net cashflow
$-372/mo
Annual
$-4,461/yr
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.79%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-372 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (19.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (11.3% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $221k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#30 in FL, #617 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Nova Blanche Forman Elementary (math 35% / reading 55%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,144 statewide, top 60%, 769 students, 72% FRL); Nova Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,284 students, 68% FRL); Monarch High School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,344 students, 54% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 717 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 57d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.8% in Coconut Creek — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,440/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 20% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Aesthetic update needed
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Update to modernize space