3953 Cocoplum Cir · Coconut Creek, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fantastic opportunity to own a 2-BR 2-BA condo in the desirable community of Cocoplum Circle. The floor plan features a spacious, open concept living and dining area, the kitchen is efficiently laid out with plenty of cabinetry and counter space. The primary suite features a generous layout with an en-suite bathroom and walk in closet. This unit is located in a beautifully maintained resort-style community that features excellent resident amenities. Property is sold as-is.
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Resident amenities
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-400 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (21.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (12.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#30 in FL, #617 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nova Blanche Forman Elementary (math 35% / reading 55%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,144 statewide, top 60%, 769 students, 72% FRL); Nova Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,284 students, 68% FRL); Monarch High School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,344 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 840 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 90d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,405/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 20% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.23%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $350,835
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -21.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2627 N Carambola Cir | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,106 (-3%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $208 | 62 |
| 2808 S Carambola Cir Cir S #1980 | 0.84mi | 2/2.0 | 1,106 (-3%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $226 | 59 |
| 3306 S Carambola Cir Cir S | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,314 (+15%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $198 | 55 |
| 3897 N Carambola Cir N #29127 | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+16%) | 6mo | $306,000 | $232 | 51 |
| 2717 N Carambola Cir N #17101 | 0.76mi | 2/2.0 | 1,106 (-3%) | 15mo | $305,000 | $276 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-72,286
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -33.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.36×
- Total profit
- $-104,789
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.5 mo (13%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $289,999 ($228/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 15 d
- This list price
- 40% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +35.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33063
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 840
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,405 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$399
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$505
- Net cashflow
- $-400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-210 | -5% $-305 | +0% $-400 | +5% $-495 | +10% $-590 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-590 | -5% $-495 | +0% $-400 | +5% $-305 | +10% $-210 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-261 | -0.5pp $-330 | base $-400 | +0.5pp $-471 | +1.0pp $-544 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3953 Cocoplum Cir #3611 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $2,700 | $2.37 | 101d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3953 Cocoplum Cir #3611 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $2,700 | $2.37 | 97d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3961 Cocoplum Cir Unit F Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1208 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 120d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3950 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1388 | $3,200 | $2.31 | 106d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3950 Cocoplum Cir #3638 Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1388 | $3,200 | $2.31 | 120d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3933 Cocoplum Cir #3518 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 114d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3709 Cocoplum Cir #3543 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,300 | $2.34 | 26d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3679 Cocoplum Cir #3528 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,300 | $2.34 | 10d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3831 Cocoplum Cir #3592 Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,450 | $2.20 | 110d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3831 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,500 | $2.24 | 38d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3757 Cocoplum Cir #3567 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,100 | $2.14 | 120d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3745 Cocoplum Cir #3561 Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,400 | $2.15 | 28d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3350 NW 47th Ave Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $2,500 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4142 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1129 | $2,285 | $2.02 | 0d | 16 | 0.17mi |
| 3400 NW 47th Ave Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $2,600 | $2.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3833 Cocoplum Cir #3593 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,350 | $2.39 | 90d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3393 Carambola Cir S #2441 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $2,500 | $2.03 | 109d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3427 NW 47th Ave #3190 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $2,300 | $2.41 | 117d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3427 NW 47th Ave #3190 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $2,300 | $2.41 | 103d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3781 Cocoplum Cir #3579 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,300 | $2.34 | 80d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3781 Cocoplum Cir #3579 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,250 | $2.29 | 78d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3559 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,350 | $2.11 | 6d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3751 Cocoplum Cir #3564 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,400 | $2.44 | 42d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3599 Cocoplum Cir #34100 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1182 | $2,500 | $2.12 | 61d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4854 Fishermans Dr Coconut Creek, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,416 | $3.02 | 0d | 10 | 0.25mi |
| 3439 Cocoplum Cir #3420 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,250 | $2.29 | 103d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3439 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $2,250 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3325 Carambola Cir S Unit S Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $2,500 | $2.03 | 98d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5100 W Sample Rd Margate, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,598 | $2.66 | 0d | 14 | 0.32mi |
| 4017 Carambola Cir N #2994 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $2,300 | $2.41 | 36d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3939 Carambola Cir N Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $2,300 | $2.10 | 10d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3929 Carambola Cir N #2902 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $2,049 | $2.15 | 120d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3287 Cocoplum Cir #3321 Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 113d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3295 Cocoplum Cir #3323 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $2,400 | $2.51 | 26d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3357 Cocoplum Cir #33133 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1182 | $2,500 | $2.12 | 120d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3357 Cocoplum Cir #33133 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1182 | $2,550 | $2.16 | 109d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3346 Carambola Cir S Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,026 | $1.37 | 120d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3853 Carambola Cir N #29141 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,650 | $2.01 | 90d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2902 Carambola Cir N Unit 2902 Coconut Creek, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $2,049 | $2.15 | 120d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2970 Carambola Cir N Unit 2970 Coconut Creek, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $2,600 | $2.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Monthly association fee of $399Community clubhouseCommunity fitness centerCommunity pool
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single-storyFaces northResale
- Construction
- Block constructionShingle roof
- Exterior features
- PorchOpen porch
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric rangeMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Bedroom on main level
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminateTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Bedroom on main levelFirst-floor entry
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-29days on market $275,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $275,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $275,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $275,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $275,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $275,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $275,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $275,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 477-char remark
-
2026-06-03$275,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,125
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,308
- − Management
- −$2,308
- − HOA
- −$4,788
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$9,454
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,269
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo in Cocoplum Circle is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. The property is located in a well-maintained community with excellent amenities.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Aesthetic update needed
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Update to modernize space
- Minor Exterior paint — Faded paint needs touch-up
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace outdated kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen and increases appeal ↑
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathroom and enhances functionality ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Coconut Creek
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #617
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coconut Creek, FL
- County
- Broward County · 2,207,033 people
- City population
- 50,557
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,466
- Household income
- $62,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 34% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 28% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 3% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Estonian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.17%
- Current HPI
- 393.9225
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-29 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $275,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…