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3953 Cocoplum Cir
D Composite 41.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

3953 Cocoplum Cir · Coconut Creek, FL 33063
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily · 27 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition $241/sqft · 22% below area Est $351k · 22% under $399/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fantastic opportunity to own a 2-BR 2-BA condo in the desirable community of Cocoplum Circle. The floor plan features a spacious, open concept living and dining area, the kitchen is efficiently laid out with plenty of cabinetry and counter space. The primary suite features a generous layout with an en-suite bathroom and walk in closet. This unit is located in a beautifully maintained resort-style community that features excellent resident amenities. Property is sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Open concept living
  • Resident amenities
  • En-suite bathroom

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVINGEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK IN CLOSETRESIDENT AMENITIESRESORT-STYLE COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-400 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (21.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (12.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $217k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#30 in FL, #617 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nova Blanche Forman Elementary (math 35% / reading 55%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,144 statewide, top 60%, 769 students, 72% FRL); Nova Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,284 students, 68% FRL); Monarch High School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,344 students, 54% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 840 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 90d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,405/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 20% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $217,140 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
4.55%
Cash-on-cash
-6.23%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$350,835
List price
$275,000
Delta
-21.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2627 N Carambola Cir 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,106 (-3%) 5mo $230,000 $208 62
2808 S Carambola Cir Cir S #1980 0.84mi 2/2.0 1,106 (-3%) 2mo $250,000 $226 59
3306 S Carambola Cir Cir S 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,314 (+15%) 2mo $260,000 $198 55
3897 N Carambola Cir N #29127 0.42mi 2/2.0 1,320 (+16%) 6mo $306,000 $232 51
2717 N Carambola Cir N #17101 0.76mi 2/2.0 1,106 (-3%) 15mo $305,000 $276 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.4%
Equity multiple
0.06×
Total profit
$-72,286
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-33.0%
Equity multiple
-0.36×
Total profit
$-104,789
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active · 4 under contract
Months of supply
7.5 mo (13%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$289,999 ($228/sqft)
Median days on market
15 d
This list price
40% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+35.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33063

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
840
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,405 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax est. 1.5%
$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$399
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$505
Net cashflow
$-400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,911
Max offer price $217,140
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-210 -5% $-305 +0% $-400 +5% $-495 +10% $-590
Rent -10% $-590 -5% $-495 +0% $-400 +5% $-305 +10% $-210
Rate -1.0pp $-261 -0.5pp $-330 base $-400 +0.5pp $-471 +1.0pp $-544

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3953 Cocoplum Cir #3611 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 1140 $2,700 $2.37 101d 1 0.02mi
3953 Cocoplum Cir #3611 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 1140 $2,700 $2.37 97d 1 0.02mi
3961 Cocoplum Cir Unit F Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.5 1208 $2,200 $1.82 120d 1 0.05mi
3950 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.5 1388 $3,200 $2.31 106d 1 0.06mi
3950 Cocoplum Cir #3638 Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.5 1388 $3,200 $2.31 120d 1 0.06mi
3933 Cocoplum Cir #3518 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,200 $2.24 114d 1 0.07mi
3709 Cocoplum Cir #3543 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,300 $2.34 26d 1 0.10mi
3679 Cocoplum Cir #3528 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,300 $2.34 10d 1 0.10mi
3831 Cocoplum Cir #3592 Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1115 $2,450 $2.20 110d 1 0.13mi
3831 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1115 $2,500 $2.24 38d 1 0.13mi
3757 Cocoplum Cir #3567 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,100 $2.14 120d 1 0.15mi
3745 Cocoplum Cir #3561 Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1115 $2,400 $2.15 28d 1 0.15mi
3350 NW 47th Ave Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1093 $2,500 $2.29 45d 1 0.16mi
4142 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1129 $2,285 $2.02 0d 16 0.17mi
3400 NW 47th Ave Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1093 $2,600 $2.38 45d 1 0.17mi
3833 Cocoplum Cir #3593 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,350 $2.39 90d 1 0.21mi
3393 Carambola Cir S #2441 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.5 1230 $2,500 $2.03 109d 1 0.22mi
3427 NW 47th Ave #3190 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 955 $2,300 $2.41 117d 1 0.23mi
3427 NW 47th Ave #3190 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 955 $2,300 $2.41 103d 1 0.23mi
3781 Cocoplum Cir #3579 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,300 $2.34 80d 1 0.23mi
3781 Cocoplum Cir #3579 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,250 $2.29 78d 1 0.23mi
3559 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1115 $2,350 $2.11 6d 1 0.23mi
3751 Cocoplum Cir #3564 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,400 $2.44 42d 1 0.24mi
3599 Cocoplum Cir #34100 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.5 1182 $2,500 $2.12 61d 1 0.25mi
4854 Fishermans Dr Coconut Creek, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $2,416 $3.02 0d 10 0.25mi
3439 Cocoplum Cir #3420 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,250 $2.29 103d 1 0.29mi
3439 Cocoplum Cir Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $2,250 $2.29 19d 1 0.29mi
3325 Carambola Cir S Unit S Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.5 1230 $2,500 $2.03 98d 1 0.30mi
5100 W Sample Rd Margate, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $2,598 $2.66 0d 14 0.32mi
4017 Carambola Cir N #2994 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 955 $2,300 $2.41 36d 1 0.33mi
3939 Carambola Cir N Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1093 $2,300 $2.10 10d 1 0.34mi
3929 Carambola Cir N #2902 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 955 $2,049 $2.15 120d 1 0.34mi
3287 Cocoplum Cir #3321 Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 113d 1 0.34mi
3295 Cocoplum Cir #3323 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 955 $2,400 $2.51 26d 1 0.34mi
3357 Cocoplum Cir #33133 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.5 1182 $2,500 $2.12 120d 1 0.36mi
3357 Cocoplum Cir #33133 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.5 1182 $2,550 $2.16 109d 1 0.36mi
3346 Carambola Cir S Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 1484 $2,026 $1.37 120d 1 0.37mi
3853 Carambola Cir N #29141 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 1320 $2,650 $2.01 90d 1 0.40mi
2902 Carambola Cir N Unit 2902 Coconut Creek, FL 2.0 2.0 955 $2,049 $2.15 120d 1 0.40mi
2970 Carambola Cir N Unit 2970 Coconut Creek, FL 3.0 2.0 1093 $2,600 $2.38 45d 1 0.41mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Monthly association fee of $399Community clubhouseCommunity fitness centerCommunity pool

Exterior

Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
Single-storyFaces northResale
Construction
Block constructionShingle roof
Exterior features
PorchOpen porch

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherElectric rangeMicrowaveRefrigerator
Bedrooms
Bedroom on main level
Flooring
CarpetLaminateTile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Bedroom on main levelFirst-floor entry

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-29
    days on market $275,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-28
    days on market $275,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-27
    days on market $275,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-26
    days on market $275,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-24
    days on market $275,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-22
    days on market $275,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-21
    days on market $275,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-06-04
    days on market $275,000 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-06-03
    remarks 477-char remark
  18. 2026-06-03
    listed $275,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,855
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,125
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,308
− Management
−$2,308
− HOA
−$4,788
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$9,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,269
After-tax cash flow
$-2,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,700–$17,100 screening

This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo in Cocoplum Circle is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. The property is located in a well-maintained community with excellent amenities.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Aesthetic update needed
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Update to modernize space
  • Minor Exterior paint — Faded paint needs touch-up

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace outdated kitchen cabinets — Modernizes kitchen and increases appeal
  • Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathroom and enhances functionality

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 34/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Liberty Elementary School F FL #1,709/2,144 Nat'l #23,081/41,679 Middle Margate Middle School F FL #469/571 Nat'l #9,020/14,009 High Monarch High School F FL #328/667 Nat'l #8,877/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Broward
NCES district ID
1200180
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,139
Composite
40.88/100
National rank
#3621
State rank
#46 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 85/100

Livability — Coconut Creek

Score
85/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#617

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coconut Creek, FL
County
Broward County · 2,207,033 people
City population
50,557
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
55,466
Household income
$62,918
Rent vs Own
26.3% rent · 73.7% own
Severe rent burden
20% of renters

Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,207,033 people
By 2030
2,360,704 · +7.0%
By 2040
2,661,208 · +20.6%
By 2050
2,946,698 · +33.5%
By 2075
3,602,273 · +63.2%
By 2100
3,970,984 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 34% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 28% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 3% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Estonian 2%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Broward

2024 margin
D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
2008→2024 swing
-17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-29 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $275,000 MARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…