4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,317 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Other
· Active
· 240 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$14,874/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,351
Tax + insurance
−$883
HOA
−$54
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,124
Net cashflow
$7,463/mo
Annual
$89,550/yr
Cap rate
21.11%
Cash-on-cash
52.91%
DSCR
3.35
1% rule
2.33%
Cash to close
$178,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $639k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($90k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $639k).
It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($562k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $562k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#385 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Beaufort Elementary (math 57% / reading 56%, grade C+, #280 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 378 students, 99% FRL); Beaufort Middle (math 42% / reading 55%, grade C-, #127 of 475 statewide, top 28%, 258 students, 99% FRL); East Carteret High (math 82% / reading 62%, grade B+, #107 of 535 statewide, top 21%, 530 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 39% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $117k; list at $639k implies a 446% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $179k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 30.1% in Newport — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29