4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,234 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,933/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,403
Tax + insurance
−$450
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,036
Net cashflow
$44/mo
Annual
$525/yr
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.73%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$181,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $649k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($525/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $493k (24.0% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($630k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $493k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#64 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Charleston 01 (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #7 of 80 in SC (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Harbor View Elementary (math 65% / reading 63%, grade B, #63 of 597 statewide, top 11%, 639 students, 40% FRL); Camp Road Middle (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C+, #29 of 229 statewide, top 13%, 864 students, 38% FRL); James Island Charter High (math 73% / reading 89%, grade A, #21 of 196 statewide, top 11%, 1,589 students, 36% FRL, charter).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Charleston 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,156 units permitted in Charleston County in 2024 (857 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charleston County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $649k implies a 664% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.4% in James Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,933/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($102k/yr) (locally 1006% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TW0TDE87S9SMWV
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29