818 N J. St

Hugo, OK 74743

$144,000C-

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,084 sqft · Built 1980 · SingleFamily · Pending · 19 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,450/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$755
• Tax + insurance: −$240
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$304
• Net cashflow: $150/mo
• Annual: $1,801/yr
• Cap rate: 7.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.47%
• DSCR: 1.20
• 1% rule: 1.01%
• Cash to close: $40,320

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $144k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $144k).
• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($142k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $142k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($996 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#287 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Hugo (town): math 12% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #235 of 270 in OK (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP.
• Choctaw County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.