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818 N J. St
C- Composite 53.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$144,000

818 N J. St · Hugo, OK 74743
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,084 sqft · SingleFamily · 19 Days on market
Built 1980 Good condition 0.27 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully maintained and move in ready, this inviting 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home offers comfort, thoughtful updates, and a fantastic in town location on a quiet street with great neighbors. From the moment you arrive, it is easy to see the pride of ownership throughout this well kept property. Inside, the home features new carpet throughout along with brand new blinds, creating a fresh and updated feel. The functional layout is designed for comfortable everyday living, and the 1 car garage adds practical convenience. The door leading from the garage into the home was custom built for handicap accessibility, offering an added feature that may be especially meaningful for some buyers. Maj

Key facts

  • Custom built door
  • Bonus space
  • Double insulation

Tags

CUSTOM BUILT DOORDOUBLE INSULATIONBONUS SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces west; Sloping topography; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Insulation (energy efficiency)
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered porch; Barn(s); Shed(s); Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Storm door(s); Ceiling fan(s); Electric range connection; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $144k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $144k).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#287 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hugo (town): math 12% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #235 of 270 in OK (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($996 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
  • Choctaw County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($142k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,840 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.47%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$61,788
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1318 Leigh St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+6%) 8mo $65,000 $57 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$12,843
Equity at exit
$49,763
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$51,325
Equity at exit
$66,599

Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74743

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$755
Tax est. 1.5%
$180 /mo · $2,160/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,260
Max offer price $144,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,000
Closing costs
$4,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-06
    price $144,000
  3. 2026-04-18
    listed $155,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,396
− Mortgage interest
−$8,066
− Property taxes
−$2,160
− Insurance
−$720
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,392
− Management
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$4,189
Taxable loss
−$522
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$125
After-tax cash flow
$1,927/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready home is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It has a good roof, exterior, flooring, and interior walls. The home has a good curb appeal and is well-maintained. The highest-ROI updates would be to paint the exterior, replace the carpet with hardwood flooring, and install new blinds and curtains.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding and brick — Painting the exterior can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Both Replace the carpet with hardwood flooring — Replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring can increase the home's value and make it more appealing to both buyers and renters.
  • Both Install new blinds and curtains — New blinds and curtains can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding and brick — Painting the exterior can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Both Replace the carpet with hardwood flooring — Replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring can increase the home's value and make it more appealing to both buyers and renters.
  • Both Install new blinds and curtains — New blinds and curtains can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hugo
NCES district ID
4015210
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$27,775
Composite
11.62/100
National rank
#9695
State rank
#235 of 270 in OK

Livability — Hugo

Score
61/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#17599

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hugo, OK
City population
8,046
Population (ZIP)
8,046

Population outlook (Choctaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,744 people
By 2030
14,568 · -1.2%
By 2040
14,225 · -3.5%
By 2050
13,960 · -5.3%
By 2075
13,775 · -6.6%
By 2100
13,408 · -9.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Native American 15% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% European 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Choctaw

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.4) · D 16.7% · R 82.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-32.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -65.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.4 2020: R+62.0 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.08%
Current HPI
257.265
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $144,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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