818 N J. St · Hugo, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$144,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained and move in ready, this inviting 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home offers comfort, thoughtful updates, and a fantastic in town location on a quiet street with great neighbors. From the moment you arrive, it is easy to see the pride of ownership throughout this well kept property. Inside, the home features new carpet throughout along with brand new blinds, creating a fresh and updated feel. The functional layout is designed for comfortable everyday living, and the 1 car garage adds practical convenience. The door leading from the garage into the home was custom built for handicap accessibility, offering an added feature that may be especially meaningful for some buyers. Maj
Key facts
- Custom built door
- Bonus space
- Double insulation
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces west; Sloping topography; Entry on main level
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Insulation (energy efficiency)
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered porch; Barn(s); Shed(s); Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Storm door(s); Ceiling fan(s); Electric range connection; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $144k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $144k).
- Recommended offer: $142k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#287 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Hugo (town): math 12% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #235 of 270 in OK (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($996 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Choctaw County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($142k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.47%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $61,788
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1318 Leigh St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+6%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $57 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $12,843
- Equity at exit
- $49,763
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $51,325
- Equity at exit
- $66,599
Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74743
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$755
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$180 /mo · $2,160/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,000
- Closing costs
- $4,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-05-06price $144,000
-
2026-04-18$155,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,396
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,066
- − Property taxes
- −$2,160
- − Insurance
- −$720
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$4,189
- Taxable loss
- −$522
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$125
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,927/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in ready home is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It has a good roof, exterior, flooring, and interior walls. The home has a good curb appeal and is well-maintained. The highest-ROI updates would be to paint the exterior, replace the carpet with hardwood flooring, and install new blinds and curtains.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior siding and brick — Painting the exterior can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
- Both Replace the carpet with hardwood flooring — Replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring can increase the home's value and make it more appealing to both buyers and renters.
- Both Install new blinds and curtains — New blinds and curtains can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint the exterior siding and brick — Painting the exterior can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Replace the carpet with hardwood flooring — Replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring can increase the home's value and make it more appealing to both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Install new blinds and curtains — New blinds and curtains can improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hugo
- NCES district ID
- 4015210
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,775
- Composite
- 11.62/100
- National rank
- #9695
- State rank
- #235 of 270 in OK
Livability — Hugo
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #17599
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hugo, OK
- City population
- 8,046
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,046
Population outlook (Choctaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,744 people
- By 2030
- 14,568 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 14,225 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 13,960 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 13,775 · -6.6%
- By 2100
- 13,408 · -9.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Native American 15% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% European 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Choctaw
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.4) · D 16.7% · R 82.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -65.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.4 2020: R+62.0 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.08%
- Current HPI
- 257.265
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-7.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $144,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-18 Listed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…