4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,100 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,316/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$275
Tax + insurance
−$230
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$535/mo
Annual
$6,415/yr
Cap rate
18.51%
Cash-on-cash
43.64%
DSCR
2.94
1% rule
2.51%
Cash to close
$14,700
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $49k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($363 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#95 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
RSU 73 (rural): math 75% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #91 of 112 in ME (top 81%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Spruce Mountain Middle School (math 83% / reading 83%, grade A+, #47 of 85 statewide, top 58%, 358 students, 58% FRL); Spruce Mountain High School (math 84% / reading 95%, grade A+, #49 of 108 statewide, top 50%, 408 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 358 units permitted in Androscoggin County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Androscoggin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 3.7% in Livermore Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29