4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,608 sqft ·
Built 1914
· Other
· Active
· 410 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,719/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$169
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$361
Net cashflow
$140/mo
Annual
$1,678/yr
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
3.00%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (14.1% below list).
It's been on market 410 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#7 in NV, #3,297 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute D-.
Elko County School District (town): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #9 of 17 in NV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Carlin Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #237 of 402 statewide, top 63%, 155 students, 53% FRL); Carlin Jr High School (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #67 of 109 statewide, top 62%, 78 students, 41% FRL); Carlin High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #81 of 131 statewide, top 66%, 97 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 29% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Elko County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elko County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $200k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 410 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TXXMETBRDC00Q2
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29