5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,727 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 168 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,412/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,964
Tax + insurance
−$377
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$-1,225/mo
Annual
$-14,696/yr
Cap rate
2.37%
Cash-on-cash
-14.01%
DSCR
0.38
1% rule
0.38%
Cash to close
$104,860
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $374k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (57.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (62.3% below list).
It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (62.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#187 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
Bauxite School District (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #44 of 238 in AR (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 446 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saline County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $325k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 3.3% in Bauxite — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 62% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TY2G81E3HDAMJP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29