3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,466 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,595/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$335
Net cashflow
$-414/mo
Annual
$-4,972/yr
Cap rate
4.45%
Cash-on-cash
-6.58%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-414 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (27.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (40.9% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (40.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#26 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Huntsville School District (rural): math 35% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #141 of 238 in AR (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TY8NGZ0V3Q99TJ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29