4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Other
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,778/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$252
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$373
Net cashflow
$996/mo
Annual
$11,951/yr
Cap rate
32.85%
Cash-on-cash
94.85%
DSCR
5.22
1% rule
3.70%
Cash to close
$13,440
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $48k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $996 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#280 in PA, #2,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Summitview El Sch (math 39% / reading 60%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 417 students, 49% FRL); Waynesboro Area Ms (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #292 of 512 statewide, top 58%, 990 students, 54% FRL); Waynesboro Area Shs (math 69% / reading 24%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,439 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $35k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 3.8% in Waynesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TZ1QRFB1GN9M57
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29