218 E North St · Waynesboro, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Online Real Estate Auction. Closes Wednesday June 23rd at 1:30pm. Needs complete rehab! See Jennings Auction Group website for complete details. 10% buyer premium added to high/winning bid. Close in 30 days, sold as-is. 10% deposit required.
Key facts
- Basement
- Two-story layout
- Off-street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $996 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
- Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 3.8% in Waynesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#280 in PA, #2,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Summitview El Sch (math 39% / reading 60%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 417 students, 49% FRL); Waynesboro Area Ms (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #292 of 512 statewide, top 58%, 990 students, 54% FRL); Waynesboro Area Shs (math 69% / reading 24%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,439 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.85%
- DSCR
- 5.22
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 89.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.15×
- Total profit
- $55,724
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- 92.6%
- Equity multiple
- 10.71×
- Total profit
- $130,499
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17268
- Active inventory
- 230
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,778 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $848/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $996
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,023 | -5% $1,009 | +0% $996 | +5% $982 | +10% $969 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $855 | -5% $926 | +0% $996 | +5% $1,066 | +10% $1,136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,020 | -0.5pp $1,008 | base $996 | +0.5pp $983 | +1.0pp $971 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 Ridge Ave Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8820 Hillside Way Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,100 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 13061-13121 Welty Rd Unit 18B Waynesboro, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-01-29status Pending
-
2026-01-23$48,000 Active
-
2021-07-23soldstatus $35,200 Closed 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Online Real Estate Auction. Closes Wednesday June 23rd at 1:30pm. Needs complete rehab! See Jennings Auction Group website for complete details. 10% buyer premium added to high/winning bid. Close in 30 days, sold as-is. 10% deposit required.
-
2021-06-25status Pending 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Online Real Estate Auction. Closes Wednesday June 23rd at 1:30pm. Needs complete rehab! See Jennings Auction Group website for complete details. 10% buyer premium added to high/winning bid. Close in 30 days, sold as-is. 10% deposit required.
-
2021-06-10$35,000 Active 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Online Real Estate Auction. Closes Wednesday June 23rd at 1:30pm. Needs complete rehab! See Jennings Auction Group website for complete details. 10% buyer premium added to high/winning bid. Close in 30 days, sold as-is. 10% deposit required.
-
2013-09-09soldstatus $8,000 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Bank Owned property in need of total renovation. Being sold "as-is". Seller will consider all offers.
-
2013-09-09soldstatus $8,000
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Bank Owned property in need of total renovation. Being sold "as-is". Seller will consider all offers.
-
2013-08-12historical 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Bank Owned property in need of total renovation. Being sold "as-is". Seller will consider all offers.
-
2013-08-12historical
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Bank Owned property in need of total renovation. Being sold "as-is". Seller will consider all offers.
-
2013-06-24$15,000 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Bank Owned property in need of total renovation. Being sold "as-is". Seller will consider all offers.
-
2013-06-24$15,000
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Bank Owned property in need of total renovation. Being sold "as-is". Seller will consider all offers.
-
2013-01-01historical
-
2013-01-01historical
-
2012-07-09
-
2012-07-09$35,000
-
2005-10-13soldstatus $42,500
-
2005-09-15historical
-
2005-09-09$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,338
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$848
- − Insurance
- −$1,038
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,707
- − Management
- −$1,707
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $11,953
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,869
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waynesboro Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225110
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,445
- Composite
- 37.79/100
- National rank
- #4342
- State rank
- #283 of 539 in PA
Livability — Waynesboro
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #2482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waynesboro, PA
- County
- Franklin County · 56,916 people
- City population
- 29,362
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,362
- Household income
- $73,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 539.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.20%
- Current HPI
- 189.6931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+6.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $48,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-07-23 Sold (MLS) $35,200 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-06-25 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-06-10 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-09-09 Sold (MLS) $8,000 MRIS
- 2013-09-09 Sold (MLS) $8,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-08-12 Delisted — MRIS
- 2013-08-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-06-24 Listed $15,000 MRIS
- 2013-06-24 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-01-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-01-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 2012-07-09 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-07-09 Listed — MRIS
- 2005-10-13 Sold (MLS) $42,500 MRIS
- 2005-09-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-09-09 Listed $45,000 MRIS
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2026): $848 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…