3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,242 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,580/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,517
Tax + insurance
−$805
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$752
Net cashflow
$-493/mo
Annual
$-5,922/yr
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.41%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$134,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $480k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-493 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $393k (18.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $358k (25.4% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $358k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#550 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Golden Grove Elementary School (math 63% / reading 69%, grade B+, #492 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 760 students, 43% FRL); Western Pines Community Middle (math 66% / reading 64%, grade A-, #99 of 571 statewide, top 17%, 991 students, 42% FRL); Seminole Ridge Community High School (math 36% / reading 56%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 2,262 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 583 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $139k; list at $480k implies a 245% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,580/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 1870% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TZHYZ950CR79GY
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29