3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,357 sqft ·
Built 1899
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,185/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$177/mo
Annual
$2,119/yr
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.89%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#45 in MI, #950 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Davison Community Schools (suburban): math 40% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #117 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 1.8% in Davison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Outdated and cluttered
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and cluttered
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and peeling
Major: Flooring
— Outdated and cluttered
Major: Interior walls
— Outdated wallpaper and cluttered
Major: HVAC system
— Outdated and cluttered
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29