155 S Last Chance Dr

Laketown, UT 84038

$209,000D-

6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,908 sqft · Built 1999 · Other · Active · 4 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,510/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,096
• Tax + insurance: −$338
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$317
• Net cashflow: $-242/mo
• Annual: $-2,900/yr
• Cap rate: 4.91%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.96%
• DSCR: 0.78
• 1% rule: 0.72%
• Cash to close: $58,520

Investor read

• This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $209k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-242 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (20.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (27.8% below list).
• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $151k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#128 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Rich District (rural): math 51% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #16 of 80 in UT (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: North Rich School (math 64% / reading 54%, grade B-, #59 of 585 statewide, top 10%, 113 students, 37% FRL); Rich Middle School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade B-, #13 of 138 statewide, top 9%, 123 students, 33% FRL); Rich High (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #63 of 171 statewide, top 37%, 156 students, 30% FRL).
• Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Rich County in 2024 (19 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Rich County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.