3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,023/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$289
HOA
−$132
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-33/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-33/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (10.1% below list).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,247 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, housing D+, amenities F.
Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $225k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V0K85HBMY26N71
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29