5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,918 sqft ·
Built 2016
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,765/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$723
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$791
Net cashflow
$-571/mo
Annual
$-6,848/yr
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.89%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-571 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $399k (20.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $376k (24.7% below list).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($455k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $376k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#46 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Cherokee County (suburban): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #17 of 174 in GA (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Woodstock Elementary School (math 55% / reading 45%, grade D+, #255 of 1,228 statewide, top 21%, 1,145 students, 36% FRL); Woodstock Middle School (math 45% / reading 49%, grade D+, #89 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 1,083 students, 39% FRL); Woodstock High School (math 22% / reading 41%, grade F, #122 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 2,044 students, 25% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 623 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,665 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (852 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cherokee County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $306k; list at $500k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.3% in Woodstock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V11FM49JE114TF
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29