6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,324 sqft ·
Built 1975
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,978/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,203
Tax + insurance
−$605
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$835
Net cashflow
$335/mo
Annual
$4,017/yr
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.42%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$117,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $420k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $112/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $398k (5.3% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($395k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $395k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#680 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Standard Elementary (suburban): math 16% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #1,227 of 1,400 in CA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wingland Elementary (751 students, 89% FRL); Standard Middle (991 students, 88% FRL); North High (reading 75%, 2,214 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 66% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $160k; list at $420k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.9% in Oildale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,978/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2931% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-V1K1TV8NA6YRSR
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29