3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,720 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 257 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,290/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$-67/mo
Annual
$-801/yr
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.68%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-801/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (6.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (24.1% below list).
It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Albert Lea Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #258 of 301 in MN (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hawthorne Elementary (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #670 of 857 statewide, top 79%, 424 students, 69% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 19% / reading 38%, grade F, #210 of 258 statewide, top 81%, 474 students, 62% FRL); Albert Lea Senior High (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #345 of 471 statewide, top 74%, 1,218 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 40% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Freeborn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Freeborn County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.1% in Albert Lea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V22YTEAX75A2CT
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29