2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
866 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,283/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-31/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.07%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-31/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (0.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#187 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Mitchell Community Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #230 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mitchell Jr High School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #251 of 330 statewide, top 77%, 359 students, 61% FRL); Mitchell High School (math 32% / reading 67%, grade D, #123 of 369 statewide, top 36%, 436 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $59k; list at $165k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29