3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,470 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,893/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,439
Tax + insurance
−$549
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$818
Net cashflow
$89/mo
Annual
$1,062/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.82%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$130,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $465k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $389k (16.3% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $389k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#35 in IL, #705 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety C-, cost of living F.
Twp Hsd 113 (suburban): math 60% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #19 of 620 in IL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Deerfield High School (math 67% / reading 69%, grade B, #9 of 693 statewide, top 1%, 1,483 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Deerfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V2896V2ATF0214
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29