2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
915 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Pending
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,348/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$1,021
HOA
−$718
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$703
Net cashflow
$-404/mo
Annual
$-4,850/yr
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.38%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-404 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (28.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $179k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-387 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V2EGMA71PK0GN5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29