3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,367 sqft ·
Built 1905
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,744/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$472
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$14/mo
Annual
$174/yr
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.37%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($174/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
Solvay Union Free School District (suburban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #550 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V2FSJ9AXEWSXE0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29