2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$924/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$205
Tax + insurance
−$45
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$194
Net cashflow
$481/mo
Annual
$5,770/yr
Cap rate
21.09%
Cash-on-cash
52.84%
DSCR
3.35
1% rule
2.37%
Cash to close
$10,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($924 rent vs $39k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#258 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Ozark School District (town): math 41% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #80 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ozark Upper Elementary School (math 40% / reading 31%, grade F, #250 of 454 statewide, top 55%, 267 students, 57% FRL); Ozark Middle School (math 57% / reading 41%, grade C-, #37 of 201 statewide, top 18%, 234 students, 56% FRL); Ozark High School (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #134 of 292 statewide, top 47%, 700 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.1% in Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely damaged
Major: kitchen countertops
— severely worn
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and non-functional
Major: bathroom walls
— damaged and peeling
Major: bathroom fixtures
— missing
Major: exterior siding
— damaged
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29