2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,106 sqft ·
Built 1924
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 151 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$982/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$556
Tax + insurance
−$70
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$150/mo
Annual
$1,799/yr
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.06%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$29,680
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (7.4% below list).
It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $93k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($733 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#187 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Garber (rural): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #51 of 270 in OK (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garfield County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V3NB80C7PRQ784
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29