3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,278 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,861/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$398
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$811
Net cashflow
$1,609/mo
Annual
$19,306/yr
Cap rate
16.40%
Cash-on-cash
36.08%
DSCR
2.61
1% rule
1.94%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $199k).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#319 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Long Beach Unified (urban): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #216 of 517 in CA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 1.9% in Long Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($115k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V3PD6B19NCX5GQ
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29