None bd · None ba ·
13,000 sqft ·
Built 1956
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$19,734/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,964
Tax + insurance
−$3,167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,144
Net cashflow
$2,459/mo
Annual
$29,513/yr
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.55%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$532,000
Investor read
This is a 20 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.90M. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $123/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.90M).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $57k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Garden Villas El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 370 students, 91% FRL); Hartman Middle (math 15% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,466 of 1,662 statewide, top 89%, 904 students, 96% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 71% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 48 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $19,734/mo this rent would consume 525% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1546% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant damage and missing shingles
Major: exterior
— Exposed brick, peeling paint
Major: flooring
— Worn-out carpet
Major: interior walls
— Painted walls with visible wear
Major: bathrooms
— Basic fixtures, no updates
Major: systems
— No visible HVAC or mechanical systems
CashFlowRE · CFR-V3XJF2CWYR2H06
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29