4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,192 sqft ·
Built 1914
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 574 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,906/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$589
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$400
Net cashflow
$183/mo
Annual
$2,196/yr
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.60%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$39,199
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 574 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#67 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Berlin School District (town): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #91 of 98 in NH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $140k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 574 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29