3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,374 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 283 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,157/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$262/mo
Annual
$3,142/yr
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.29%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#171 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
Chandler (town): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #36 of 270 in OK (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Park Road Es (math 38% / reading 36%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 313 students, 0% FRL); Chandler Hs (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #9 of 447 statewide, top 2%, 335 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $41k; list at $109k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.8% in Chandler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V52YA6535S1YME
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29