2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Other
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$960/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$38
Tax + insurance
−$5
HOA
−$585
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$202
Net cashflow
$131/mo
Annual
$1,566/yr
Cap rate
27.75%
Cash-on-cash
76.62%
DSCR
4.41
1% rule
13.15%
Cash to close
$2,044
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $7k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($960 rent vs $7k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $50 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $219 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Swartz Creek Community Schools (suburban): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #298 of 540 in MI (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 61% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V6DRW7CJGRREBC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29