3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1939
· Condo
· Pending
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,447/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,412
Tax + insurance
−$767
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,144
Net cashflow
$1,124/mo
Annual
$13,493/yr
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.48%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$128,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $460k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $460k).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($405k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $405k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#94 in NY, #1,430 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Edgemont Union Free School District (suburban): math 85% / reading 91% proficiency, ranked #2 of 590 in NY (top 0%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Greenville School (math 84% / reading 93%, grade A+, #62 of 2,108 statewide, top 3%, 551 students, 0% FRL); Edgemont Junior-Senior High School (math 85% / reading 86%, grade A, #366 of 1,100 statewide, top 33%, 949 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 10122% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.8% in Hartsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V6WNZ82C9QYQZZ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29