1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
648 sqft ·
Built 1959
· Condo
· Active
· 128 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,173/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$335
Tax + insurance
−$106
HOA
−$488
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-35/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.20%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
1.84%
Cash to close
$17,891
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $64k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-35/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $63k (0.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $867 of equity ($442 loan paydown + $425 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V8F3MA2GGTM3QK
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29