2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,052 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$941/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$316/mo
Annual
$3,789/yr
Cap rate
11.78%
Cash-on-cash
19.61%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#639 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Stonewall (rural): math 20% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #155 of 270 in OK (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Stonewall Es (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 198 students, 0% FRL); Mclish Ms (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #234 of 345 statewide, top 72%, 131 students, 0% FRL); Stonewall Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 123 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 69% district-wide (69 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pontotoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pontotoc County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $69k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V8N2J46VZYCYZ4
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29