319 E 8th · Stonewall, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CHARMING 2 BEDROOM HOME IN STONEWALL! This 2 bed, 1 bath home with just the right amount of updates already handled for you. From the moment you pull in, the cute fenced front yard sets the tone, while the privacy-fenced backyard gives you, pets, people, peace and quiet… all covered. Inside, you’ll notice the woodwork throughout that adds character. The layout flows comfortably from the living area into a refreshed kitchen featuring brand new cabinets installed in 2025, giving it a clean, updated feel without losing that homey touch. Fireplace will need a gas line run to it before it will work. Major exterior upgrades include new siding in 2025, plus a metal roof on one side,
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1985
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage with storage and workshop space
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Metal roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Privacy and wire fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Wood counters; Ceiling fan(s); Electric oven and range connections; Vinyl window frames
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#639 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Stonewall (rural): math 20% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #155 of 270 in OK (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pontotoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
- Pontotoc County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $69k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.61%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,576
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 E 8th | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,052 (0%) | 0mo | $58,000 | $55 | 100 |
| 225 E 10th St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (-14%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $88 | 64 |
| 404 S Harrison | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+9%) | 3mo | $139,900 | $122 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $54,925
- Equity at exit
- $59,238
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.52×
- Total profit
- $145,256
- Equity at exit
- $124,762
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74871
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $941 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $444/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $355 | -5% $335 | +0% $316 | +5% $296 | +10% $277 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $241 | -5% $279 | +0% $316 | +5% $353 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $350 | -0.5pp $333 | base $316 | +0.5pp $298 | +1.0pp $280 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-04-27$69,000 Active
-
2005-08-24soldstatus $30,000
-
2005-01-25soldstatus $16,000
-
1995-04-04soldstatus $7,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $444 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $621 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- +$177/yr (+$15/mo · 39.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,291
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$444
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$903
- − Management
- −$903
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $2,823
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$678
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stonewall
- NCES district ID
- 4028800
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,982
- Composite
- 18.58/100
- National rank
- #8908
- State rank
- #155 of 270 in OK
Livability — Stonewall
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #639
- US rank
- #24889
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stonewall, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,174
Population outlook (Pontotoc County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,521 people
- By 2030
- 40,140 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 41,242 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 42,293 · +7.0%
- By 2075
- 44,678 · +13.0%
- By 2100
- 46,015 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Native American 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- European 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Pontotoc
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.7% · R 72.3% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+43.7 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.42%
- Current HPI
- 319.5458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+885.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-27 Listed $69,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2005-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1995-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $444 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…