5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,283 sqft ·
Built 1871
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,285/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$933
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,110
Net cashflow
$3,018/mo
Annual
$36,214/yr
Cap rate
26.64%
Cash-on-cash
72.66%
DSCR
4.23
1% rule
2.97%
Cash to close
$49,840
Investor read
This is a 1×2.0bd/1.0ba + 3×1.25bd/?ba units multifamily listed at $178k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($36k/yr) — positive. Per door: $754/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $178k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#41 in OH, #423 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Lancaster City (town): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #504 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1871 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 475 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fairfield County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $178k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.6% vs local median 4.2% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,285/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 1400% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1871 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V99FEQ0ZDH7YJE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29