Fourplex
143 W Mulberry St · Lancaster, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$178,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Large 14 room house 2 blocks from downtown, 8 decorative fireplaces, barn on back of lot, alley back of lot, many possible uses. Sold as is in all respects.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1871
- Listed 10 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2.0bd/1.0ba + 3×1.25bd/?ba units multifamily listed at $178k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($36k/yr) — positive. Per door: $754/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $178k).
- Cap rate 26.6% vs local median 4.0% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#41 in OH, #423 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
- Lancaster City (town): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #504 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 475 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,285/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 1400% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fairfield County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $178k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1871 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1871 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.66%
- DSCR
- 4.23
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,546
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 W Mulberry St | 0.00mi | 5/— | 3,283 (0%) | 1mo | $172,000 | $52 | 99 |
| 171-173 E 6th Ave | 0.34mi | 6/— (+1) | 3,439 (+5%) | 8mo | $407,500 | $118 | 64 |
| 308 Washington Ave | 0.69mi | 6/— (+1) | 3,360 (+2%) | 18mo | $208,000 | $62 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.52×
- Total profit
- $175,466
- Equity at exit
- $26,540
- IRR
- 79.2%
- Equity multiple
- 10.07×
- Total profit
- $452,250
- Equity at exit
- $15,390
Cash invested: $49,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43130
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,285 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$933
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,796/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,110
- Net cashflow
- $3,018
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,119 | -5% $3,068 | +0% $3,018 | +5% $2,967 | +10% $2,917 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,600 | -5% $2,809 | +0% $3,018 | +5% $3,227 | +10% $3,435 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,107 | -0.5pp $3,063 | base $3,018 | +0.5pp $2,972 | +1.0pp $2,925 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2.0 | 1 | $1,412 |
| 3× units | 1.25 | 0 | $3,873 |
| #2 | 1.25 | 0 | $1,291 |
| #3 | 1.25 | 0 | $1,291 |
| #4 | 1.25 | 0 | $1,291 |
| Total (4 units) | $5,285 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,500
- Closing costs
- $5,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-24price $178,000
-
2026-04-15$185,000 Active
-
2023-08-10soldstatus $95,000
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $95,000
-
2022-04-23price $950
-
2005-11-23soldstatus $85,100 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Large 14 room house 2 blocks from downtown, 8 decorative fireplaces, barn on back of lot, alley back of lot, many possible uses. Sold as is in all respects.
-
2005-11-23soldstatus $85,100
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Large 14 room house 2 blocks from downtown, 8 decorative fireplaces, barn on back of lot, alley back of lot, many possible uses. Sold as is in all respects.
-
2005-10-28historical 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Large 14 room house 2 blocks from downtown, 8 decorative fireplaces, barn on back of lot, alley back of lot, many possible uses. Sold as is in all respects.
-
2005-07-30$85,000 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Large 14 room house 2 blocks from downtown, 8 decorative fireplaces, barn on back of lot, alley back of lot, many possible uses. Sold as is in all respects.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,796 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,286 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$490/yr (+$41/mo · 27.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,420
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,971
- − Property taxes
- −$1,796
- − Insurance
- −$890
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,074
- − Management
- −$5,074
- − Depreciation
- −$5,178
- Taxable income
- $35,438
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,505
- After-tax cash flow
- $27,709/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lancaster City
- NCES district ID
- 3904420
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,696
- Composite
- 37.39/100
- National rank
- #4427
- State rank
- #504 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lancaster, OH
- County
- Fairfield County · 109,896 people
- City population
- 62,933
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,933
- Household income
- $72,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1400.0
Population outlook (Fairfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,442 people
- By 2030
- 166,796 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 172,835 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 174,822 · +7.6%
- By 2075
- 174,938 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 160,988 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fairfield
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.1pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+27.0 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.81%
- Current HPI
- 239.6352
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+109.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $178,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $185,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-23 Price Changed $950 RENT.
- 2005-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $85,100 Public Records
- 2005-11-23 Sold (MLS) $85,100 CBRMLS
- 2005-10-28 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2005-07-30 Listed $85,000 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,796 · +49.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…