3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,806 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 148 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,256/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$276
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$536/mo
Annual
$6,433/yr
Cap rate
9.77%
Cash-on-cash
12.42%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Project Accept Traice Es (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #695 of 845 statewide, top 84%, 558 students, 0% FRL); Edison Preparatory Ms (math 19% / reading 28%, grade F, #113 of 345 statewide, top 34%, 822 students, 0% FRL); Booker T. Washington Hs (math 41% / reading 61%, grade D+, #2 of 447 statewide, top 0%, 1,280 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 10% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Tulsa average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 35y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $185k implies a 311% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29