2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,871/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,666
Tax + insurance
−$1,231
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,543
Net cashflow
$8,431/mo
Annual
$101,172/yr
Cap rate
20.88%
Cash-on-cash
52.10%
DSCR
3.32
1% rule
2.41%
Cash to close
$195,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $699k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($101k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $699k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($689k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $689k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#170 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Oxford City (urban): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 129 in AL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Oxford Elementary School (math 34% / reading 55%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 794 students, 60% FRL); Oxford High School (math 36% / reading 52%, grade F, #25 of 305 statewide, top 8%, 1,288 students, 61% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $699k implies a 1648% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V9E814BK481APT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29