3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,294 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,038/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$218
Net cashflow
$-44/mo
Annual
$-527/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.51%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$34,997
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-527/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (5.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (17.0% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $104k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $427 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#113 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
West Jasper Consolidated Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #53 of 130 in MS (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Bay Springs Elem Sch (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #108 of 375 statewide, top 30%, 405 students, 99% FRL); Bay Springs Middle Sch (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #100 of 179 statewide, top 57%, 197 students, 98% FRL); Bay Springs High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 225 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 71% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: Roof
— Weathered and exposed
Major: Flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement
Major: Interior walls and paint
— Worn and in need of repainting
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· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29