2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,364 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 726 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,582/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$332
Net cashflow
$317/mo
Annual
$3,803/yr
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.76%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
It's been on market 726 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#260 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Duffield-Pattonsville Primary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 286 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove Intermediate (math 42% / reading 72%, grade B, #178 of 342 statewide, top 53%, 153 students, 78% FRL); Rye Cove High (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #213 of 319 statewide, top 69%, 279 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 48% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $155k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $1,582/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 726 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of significant wear
Major: exterior siding
— Weathered and discolored
Minor: interior paint
— Faded but not peeling
CashFlowRE · CFR-V9VRDF0KVZ4QXM
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29