2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,665 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,699
Tax + insurance
−$540
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$537
Net cashflow
$-420/mo
Annual
$-5,035/yr
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.55%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$90,717
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $324k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-420 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (18.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (21.1% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($314k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#25 in IL, #458 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Yorkville CUSD 115 (suburban): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #131 of 620 in IL (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Grande Reserve Elem Sch (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #329 of 2,056 statewide, top 16%, 645 students, 0% FRL); Yorkville Middle School (math 33% / reading 47%, grade F, #140 of 665 statewide, top 22%, 1,105 students, 0% FRL); Yorkville High School (math 32% / reading 39%, grade F, #121 of 693 statewide, top 18%, 2,118 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 17% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 65d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.7% in Yorkville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V9ZECS849VNPHS
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29