4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,885 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 612 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,305/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,482
Tax + insurance
−$471
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$484
Net cashflow
$-131/mo
Annual
$-1,576/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.99%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$79,115
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $271k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (2.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (14.9% below list).
It's been on market 612 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $231k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#47 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 770 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.4% in Lyman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 612 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown grass and weeds need trimming
Major: Fencing
— White picket fence appears weathered and needs repainting
CashFlowRE · CFR-VA19GD57BKPFE6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29