3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,392 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,043
Tax + insurance
−$332
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$-106/mo
Annual
$-1,275/yr
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.29%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$55,692
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (7.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (19.3% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $161k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#47 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Blanchard (rural): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #13 of 270 in OK (top 5%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Blanchard Es (558 students, 0% FRL); Blanchard Ms (math 26% / reading 44%, grade F, #23 of 345 statewide, top 6%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Blanchard Hs (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 724 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 516 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in McClain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McClain County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $89k; list at $199k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in Blanchard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VA228ZAF10GZES
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29