216 N Jefferson Ave · Blanchard, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$198,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom house in the heart of Blanchard. This modular home is priced to sell in as-is condition.
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- New carpet
- Updated countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Blanchard addition
- Financial info: Assumable financing available; Loan qualification possible
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Homestead exemption; Below-ground storm shelter
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; West-facing; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof (new 2025); Conventional foundation; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Covered porch; Outbuildings; Interior lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: In-law floor plan; Carpet flooring; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (7.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in Blanchard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#47 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Blanchard (rural): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #13 of 270 in OK (top 5%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blanchard Es (558 students, 0% FRL); Blanchard Ms (math 26% / reading 44%, grade F, #23 of 345 statewide, top 6%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Blanchard Hs (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 724 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 516 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in McClain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- McClain County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $89k; list at $199k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.29%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,192
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 N Madison Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (-8%) | 2mo | $218,000 | $171 | 79 |
| 824 N Madison Ave | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,422 (+2%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $151 | 70 |
| 720 N Main St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (+3%) | 9mo | $162,000 | $113 | 68 |
| 317 S Tyler Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (-1%) | 8mo | $222,900 | $162 | 67 |
| 402 S Van Buren | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+2%) | 19mo | $243,000 | $172 | 59 |
| 801 N Madison Ave | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,475 (+6%) | 10mo | $212,000 | $144 | 59 |
| 417 S Harrison St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,462 (+5%) | 11mo | $214,000 | $146 | 58 |
| 604 S Van Buren Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,534 (+10%) | 1mo | $232,200 | $151 | 55 |
| 213 S Tyler | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-3%) | 22mo | $234,900 | $174 | 54 |
| 603 N Madison Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,570 (+13%) | 11mo | $199,000 | $127 | 53 |
| 611 S Van Buren Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,458 (+5%) | 8mo | $184,800 | $127 | 50 |
| 521 N Harrison Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (-11%) | 19mo | $193,000 | $156 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,349
- Equity at exit
- $72,553
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $35,395
- Equity at exit
- $100,121
Cash invested: $55,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73010
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 516
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,605 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,043
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$249 /mo · $2,984/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $-106
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $31 | -5% $-38 | +0% $-106 | +5% $-175 | +10% $-244 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-233 | -5% $-170 | +0% $-106 | +5% $-43 | +10% $21 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-6 | -0.5pp $-56 | base $-106 | +0.5pp $-158 | +1.0pp $-210 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,725
- Closing costs
- $5,967
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720 N Main Blanchard, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 509 Harris Blanchard, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 300 Point Pleasant Ct Blanchard, OK | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,264 | $1.10 | 3d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 2449 Heather Rd Blanchard, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2449 Heather Rd Blanchard, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 490 Elena Dr Blanchard, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $1,995 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $198,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $199,900
-
2026-04-30price $210,000
-
2026-03-27$215,000 Active
-
2025-08-29soldstatus $89,000
-
2025-08-22soldstatus $88,725 Closed 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom house in the heart of Blanchard. This modular home is priced to sell in as-is condition.
-
2025-07-25status Pending 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom house in the heart of Blanchard. This modular home is priced to sell in as-is condition.
-
2025-07-18price $85,000 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom house in the heart of Blanchard. This modular home is priced to sell in as-is condition.
-
2025-07-11price $97,000 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom house in the heart of Blanchard. This modular home is priced to sell in as-is condition.
-
2025-07-02status Active 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom house in the heart of Blanchard. This modular home is priced to sell in as-is condition.
-
2025-06-17status Pending 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom house in the heart of Blanchard. This modular home is priced to sell in as-is condition.
-
2025-06-15$110,000 Active 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom house in the heart of Blanchard. This modular home is priced to sell in as-is condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,141
- − Property taxes
- −$2,984
- − Insurance
- −$994
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,541
- − Management
- −$1,541
- − Depreciation
- −$5,786
- Taxable loss
- −$4,723
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $-142/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blanchard
- NCES district ID
- 4004680
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,936
- Composite
- 35.63/100
- National rank
- #4887
- State rank
- #13 of 270 in OK
Livability — Blanchard
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #8299
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blanchard, OK
- County
- McClain County · 33,206 people
- City population
- 21,521
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,521
- Household income
- $90,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 239.0
Population outlook (McClain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,053 people
- By 2030
- 50,081 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 58,231 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 66,276 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 86,558 · +88.0%
- By 2100
- 100,421 · +118.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · McClain
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.8% · R 79.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.8pp · 2024: -60.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.6 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+51.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.45%
- Current HPI
- 285.8653
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+81.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $199,900 MLSOK
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $210,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-27 Listed $215,000 MLSOK
- 2025-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 2025-08-22 Sold (MLS) $88,725 MLSOK
- 2025-07-25 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $85,000 MLSOK
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $97,000 MLSOK
- 2025-07-02 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2025-06-17 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-06-15 Listed $110,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $282 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…