3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,397 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$197
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$368
Net cashflow
$33/mo
Annual
$391/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.64%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($391/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (20.4% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $175k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#107 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Southaven Elementary (math 20% / reading 23%, grade F, #239 of 375 statewide, top 64%, 684 students, 100% FRL); Southaven Middle School (math 33% / reading 25%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 1,456 students, 100% FRL); Southaven High School (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #88 of 197 statewide, top 45%, 1,850 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.2% in Southaven — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VFSDHY2QDEMJPV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29