1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
510 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,493/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$139
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$140/mo
Annual
$1,680/yr
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.14%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#59 in UT, #3,809 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, health & safety F.
Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sandstone School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #474 of 585 statewide, top 83%, 506 students, 60% FRL); Pine View High (math 29% / reading 48%, grade F, #74 of 171 statewide, top 43%, 1,143 students, 33% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Washington District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1024 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VFST1Q9CZZJQEQ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29