3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,153 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 139 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,478/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$139
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$767/mo
Annual
$9,208/yr
Cap rate
26.08%
Cash-on-cash
70.67%
DSCR
4.14
1% rule
2.96%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $767 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Ernie Davis Academy (math 5% / reading 31%, grade F, #691 of 729 statewide, top 95%, 802 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $29k; list at $50k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming
Moderate: Exterior paint
— Shingles show some discoloration
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· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29