3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Manufactured
· Active
· 653 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,022/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$630
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$215
Net cashflow
$-513/mo
Annual
$-6,154/yr
Cap rate
0.13%
Cash-on-cash
-22.00%
DSCR
0.02
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-513 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $26k (74.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 653 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (74.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#159 in MI, #4,066 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Leslie Public Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #329 of 540 in MI (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Woodworth Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #866 of 1,397 statewide, top 65%, 439 students, 56% FRL); Leslie Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #329 of 493 statewide, top 67%, 303 students, 47% FRL); Leslie High School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #372 of 713 statewide, top 56%, 342 students, 44% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 62% of rent.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 0.1% vs local median 4.0% in Leslie — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 653 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 74% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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