5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,295 sqft ·
Built 1926
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,459/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,879
Tax + insurance
−$581
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,566
Net cashflow
$2,433/mo
Annual
$29,192/yr
Cap rate
11.61%
Cash-on-cash
18.99%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$153,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $549k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $811/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $549k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($533k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $533k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#137 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
Fitchburg (suburban): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #282 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mckay Elementary School (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #805 of 938 statewide, top 86%, 727 students, 0% FRL); Arthur M Longsjo Middle School (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #271 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 588 students, 0% FRL); Fitchburg High (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #251 of 343 statewide, top 73%, 1,246 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $549k implies a 898% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.1% in Fitchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,459/mo this rent would consume 123% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 1763% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VHB6Q5EP477XDK
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29