2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
598 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$230
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$-717/mo
Annual
$-8,609/yr
Cap rate
2.38%
Cash-on-cash
-13.98%
DSCR
0.38
1% rule
0.38%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-717 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $93k (57.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (61.7% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $84k (61.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in IN, #622 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
Goshen Community Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #190 of 301 in IN (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Parkside Elementary School (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #279 of 994 statewide, top 30%, 252 students, 62% FRL); Goshen Junior High School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #197 of 330 statewide, top 60%, 1,001 students, 70% FRL); Goshen High School (math 32% / reading 65%, grade D, #139 of 369 statewide, top 38%, 2,004 students, 64% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $66k; list at $220k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 3.2% in Goshen — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-VHCXSH77KAS9R8
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29